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Official Report: search what was said in Parliament

The Official Report is a written record of public meetings of the Parliament and committees.  

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Dates of parliamentary sessions
  1. Session 1: 12 May 1999 to 31 March 2003
  2. Session 2: 7 May 2003 to 2 April 2007
  3. Session 3: 9 May 2007 to 22 March 2011
  4. Session 4: 11 May 2011 to 23 March 2016
  5. Session 5: 12 May 2016 to 5 May 2021
  6. Current session: 12 May 2021 to 22 November 2024
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Displaying 1319 contributions

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Finance and Public Administration Committee

Cabinet Secretary for Finance and the Economy

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

I have a question about the NDR pool, which now stands at a deficit of £192 million. What impact will that have on businesses as we move forward through the pandemic? I guess that the money will have to be repaid back into the pool.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Scottish Fiscal Commission (Economic and Fiscal Forecasts)

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

I will follow on from Daniel Johnson’s point about the high street and non-domestic rates. From your forecast for 2022-23 to 2026-27, non-domestic rates are due to go up by 17 per cent. How realistic is that considering how much the high street will have changed through the pandemic? Should we also consider how different businesses will pay NDR in future, or is that not part of your forecast?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Scottish Fiscal Commission (Economic and Fiscal Forecasts)

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

Are assumptions made about the tax bands? Do you assume that they will stay as they are or that they will go up in line with inflation?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Cabinet Secretary for Finance and the Economy

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

I imagine that, to balance it and pay off the £192 million deficit, the intake will have to increase.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Cabinet Secretary for Finance and the Economy

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

The SFC is predicting a 17 per cent rise in revenue from non-domestic rates between 2022-23 and 2026-27. We have a revaluation next year. Given the changes to the retail and commercial sectors, for example, will that rise be achievable? A lot of businesses will be wondering where that money will come from.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Scottish Fiscal Commission (Economic and Fiscal Forecasts)

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

Income tax revenue is projected to move from just under £12 billion in 2020-21 to £17.3 billion in 2026-27. However, at the same time, the 16 to 64-year-old workforce is set to decrease by, I think, 60,000. I am trying to work out how there could be such a big increase in revenue when the workforce will reduce.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Scottish Fiscal Commission (Economic and Fiscal Forecasts)

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

Also in the report, nominal earnings are due to rise by 2.1 per cent and then 2.5 per cent, which does not match the increase in income tax. I wonder whether I am missing something here. Do you assume that income tax bands are going to change—that people are going to pay more tax per person?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Cabinet Secretary for Finance and the Economy

Meeting date: 31 August 2021

Douglas Lumsden

It was mentioned earlier that the social security bill was going to rise from £3.7 billion to £5.2 billion, and that is without adding in some of the SNP manifesto pledges. Does that rate of increase in a relatively short space of time concern you?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Interests

Meeting date: 22 June 2021

Douglas Lumsden

I remind everyone that I am still a member of Aberdeen City Council as an elected councillor.