The next item of business is a debate on motion S6M-16667, in the name of Kate Forbes, on achieving a fair balance in the United Kingdom economy. I invite members who wish to speak in the debate to press their request-to-speak buttons.
14:51
We are discussing the future of Scotland’s economy against a backdrop of international uncertainty. Right now, it can feel that the world is walking backwards rather than striding confidently forward into better times. It is therefore more important than ever that we focus on how to improve the quality of life for the people of Scotland, make the most of the significant economic opportunities that Scotland enjoys, and contribute to the rest of the world by realising those opportunities.
I will begin by affirming and celebrating Scotland’s huge economic potential. Scotland consistently ranks as the top investment destination in the UK outside London and the south-east of England. We are world leading in the development and deployment of renewables and green technology, and we have some of the world’s best universities, a world-class food and drink sector, a highly educated population and a diverse and open economy.
Despite the challenges that have been caused by 15 years of austerity from Westminster, and the challenges of recovering from the economic impacts of Brexit and Covid, the Scottish economy is well placed to take advantage of the huge economic opportunities that come from the transition to net zero and the revolution in critical technologies.
However, realising the opportunities that lie ahead will require dynamic partnership between the Government, business and academia, and it will require government at every level to work towards common goals. We are at a moment of inflection for Scotland’s economy. If we get things right in the next few years, the prizes for the people of Scotland and their country will be huge—more well-paid jobs, greater prosperity and greater tax revenues for our public services.
We have opportunities to grab the first-mover advantage in a number of areas and to solidify our progress in others, such as renewable energy, semiconductors and advanced manufacturing. However, we are not the only country that is seeking to do that, so we need to ensure that the opportunities are not missed.
Part of our strength is our diverse economy, which is spread across all our regions. We can take many examples of that. In 2021, Glasgow city region produced approximately £48 billion of gross value added, making it the largest city region economy in Scotland and the fourth largest in the UK.
The Edinburgh and south-east Scotland city region is equally remarkable, having produced 30 per cent of Scotland’s total economic output and ranking top for investment attractiveness in the UK outwith London. The work of Aberdeen city and Aberdeenshire with Opportunity North East is a model for how the private sector can be a partner within regional structures.
However, I am not just talking about our city regions. In October, the south of Scotland region was designated as Scotland’s natural capital innovation zone, which recognises that the region is ideally positioned to address the twin crises of biodiversity loss and climate change through innovation and responsible investment.
I thank the minister for referring to the south of Scotland—particularly the south-west.
Is he not aware that what businesses such as Stena Line really want are roads that are fit for purpose so that vital commodities can be moved around our country?
Roads are, of course, important—all transport links are important. The Scottish Government is doing all that we can with our limited resources to push forward that agenda. It is a pity that inflation has rocketed for all road-building materials. That is thanks to the then Conservative UK Government’s budget a few years ago, which caused inflation to rocket and the cost of everything to go through the roof, which has made it a lot more challenging for the UK and Scottish Governments, and many other Governments, to deal with such issues.
The Highlands and Islands Regional Economic Partnership covers 51 per cent of Scotland’s landmass, encompasses 99 per cent of Scotland’s community-owned land and has more than 22,000 registered businesses and more than 1,200 social enterprises. It has undertaken work that shows that tens of billions of pounds in investment could come to the region in the years to 2040. The Scottish and UK Governments should be engaging and supporting it in that.
Across our regions, Scotland has huge opportunities in offshore wind, carbon capture, energy storage, hydrogen and decarbonisation of heat and transport.
We also have a rapidly growing space technology sector, which is expected to be worth £4 billion by 2040.
Digital technology is Scotland’s fastest-growing sector for inward investment, with excellent opportunities across cybersecurity, data, fintech, games, global business services and many other areas. As of 2021, we had more than 10,000 registered businesses in the technology sector, and we have 15,000 new graduates every year in digital technology fields from Scotland’s universities. According to the investment firm Beauhurst, a record £454 million of equity fundraising was announced in Scotland’s tech sector in 2021.
Scotland also has one of the largest life sciences clusters in Europe, with around 770 life science organisations that employ more than 42,500 people.
We are committed to doing everything that we can to support opportunities in those sectors. We need the UK Government to match that and we welcome constructive partnership working with the UK Government. It is fair to say the current UK Government is more constructive than the previous Tory Government, but we have to be honest and say that that was a very low bar.
However, the work on green freeports is a positive example of our working together on some issues—even with that previous Tory Government. In that case, a UK Government policy was tailored and amended to fit the Scottish context with our addition of fair work commitments, for example.
Inverness and Cromarty Firth Green Freeport Ltd will focus on the green industrial transition and has already seen a commitment of £350 million by Sumitomo for a subsea cable factory. In fact, the green freeport has ambitions to attract £6.5 billion of investment, which will result in more than 11,000 jobs for the Highlands.
Our green freeport in the Firth of Forth also has huge economic ambitions. It is aiming to bring in £7.9 billion of investment and to support more than 34,000 jobs across the UK. Forth Green Freeport Ltd has a footprint in Grangemouth, which is rightly the focus of a great deal of attention at the moment. The First Minister recently announced a further £25 million of Scottish Government support for the just transition of the site, thereby taking our total investment to £87 million. We welcomed the Prime Minister’s announcement of the availability of investment from the UK’s National Wealth Fund Ltd. We hope to hear, in due course, more details of how that investment will be taken forward and support the cluster.
I must also repeat the First Minister’s call about carbon capture and storage at Grangemouth. Although the UK Government recently announced support for projects in Teesside and Merseyside, no green light has been given for the project involving Grangemouth, despite promises from previous UK Governments.
Another positive example of collaborative working with the UK Government is through our city and region growth deals. We have 12 growth deals in Scotland, with the Scottish Government’s total investment amounting to more than £1.9 billion, which more than matches the UK Government’s £1.5 billion investment.
We are also working with the UK Government to deliver two investment zones, which are in the Glasgow city region and in the north-east. Those will be supported by up to £320 million of investment.
The prospects in Scotland are significant, and we are ready and willing to work with the UK Government to capitalise on the opportunities that are ahead of us. Where there are UK-wide schemes, we will work on delivering the Scottish end of those schemes: I have given examples of where that has happened with the previous UK Government and the current one.
However, the crux of the debate is about recent signals from UK ministers that are causing, in business groups and elsewhere, concerns that the lion’s share of investment and resources will continue to be disproportionately unfairly focused in London and the south-east of England—the golden triangle of Oxford, Cambridge and London. That is despite the fact that recent data shows that Scotland outperformed the UK on economic growth last year. If we want greater investment in Scotland, we need our colleagues in Westminster to recognise the significant opportunities that we, in Scotland, have to offer.
In January, the Chancellor of the Exchequer unveiled plans to deliver the Oxford to Cambridge growth corridor and stated that the region is the “home of British innovation”. As you can imagine, Deputy Presiding Officer, Scotland’s reaction to that claim was not particularly positive. Our innovations in Scotland have shaped and advanced the world consistently, continually and remarkably. Even more important is that we are home to the innovations that will shape the world of tomorrow.
We recently had the Prime Minister’s speech on the “AI Opportunities Action Plan”, which he delivered at University College London and in which he spoke about opportunities in Oxfordshire, Liverpool and Northumberland. In fact, he name-checked all four corners of England but made no mention of Scotland, in delivering a high-profile and much-anticipated speech on the artificial intelligence action plan for the whole UK.
I wonder whether the minister listened to the speech that the Prime Minister made in Glasgow just last weekend, when he announced £200 million of investment in Scotland.
I did, and I have already mentioned it in my speech and welcomed it. Of course, that was after a bit of a backlash from the Labour Party’s member of the UK Parliament for Grangemouth. I hope that we will see the details of that investment sooner rather than later, because it is important.
The Prime Minister’s AI announcement, in which he did not mention Scotland—for the record, I point out that Labour members are shaking their heads—was despite the fact that seven of our universities in Scotland have AI courses, and despite the fact that Edinburgh is a major hub for data and AI jobs in the UK and is consistently ranked among Europe’s leading cities for data and AI capabilities. In fact, last year’s Nobel prize in physics went to an alumnus of the University of Edinburgh for outstanding work on machine learning. We do not need a quantum computer to see that the Prime Minister missed something quite important and should have mentioned Scotland and AI.
The Prime Minister pledged to increase the UK’s computer capacity twentyfold by 2030, including by building a new supercomputer, just months after the new UK Government pulled back on plans to build a high-tech exascale supercomputer in Edinburgh.
Members of the UK Government have ignored Scotland’s leadership on AI and data in speeches about AI policy. They have claimed that Oxford and Cambridge are the home of British innovation, said that the UK’s new silicon valley should be in the so-called golden triangle, and talked about making that area the flagship of UK economic growth. Those are all important insights into the UK Government’s mindset and priorities. We must see more high-profile promotion of Scotland’s innovation strengths from the UK Government. We do not want Scotland to continually be an afterthought. The UK Government needs to work with us to drive investment in innovation in Scotland and should not give disproportionate focus all the time to the south-east.
For instance, look at how Scotch whisky has been treated. The decision to further increase duty on Scotch whisky is a broken promise by the Prime Minister, who publicly committed to
“back Scotch producers to the hilt”.
On top of that tax rise, we heard last week that the UK Government was considering, at the time, allowing English whisky makers to use the term “single malt”, which would devalue the products that are produced in Scotland. We have now had an announcement that that will not happen, and we are pleased that the Labour Government has dropped its plans for that after a big backlash from the Scotch whisky industry and, of course, pressure from the Scottish Government and many others.
We need the UK Government generally to back, and not to undermine, our successful industries. The UK Government’s recent green paper “Invest 2035: the UK’s modern industrial strategy” stated that the “primary objective” of the UK industrial strategy is to
“drive growth, by taking advantage of the UK’s unique strengths and untapped potential, enabling the UK’s world-leading sectors to adapt and grow, and seizing opportunities to lead in new sectors, with high-quality, well-paid jobs.”
Of course, we welcome that and we have no doubt that the UK Government is serious in its intention to translate that ambition into real and sustainable economic growth. However, for that to happen, its ambition needs to be matched by a commitment to collaboration and co-operation.
The UK Government must develop its industrial strategy and determine its investments to deliver it. In doing that, it must recognise Scotland’s regional strengths and the catalytic opportunities that exist in this country. The UK Government must recognise the world-leading reputation of our universities and growth sectors, including advanced manufacturing, AI and life sciences.
Again, I see that Labour members are laughing and shaking their heads. In the past couple of days, I spoke to a senior representative of Scotland’s university sector who said that their heart sank when they heard Rachel Reeves’s speech about the new silicon valley being in the south-east of England and about the growth corridor between Oxford and Cambridge being the solution to the UK’s economic challenges. That is what is happening out there, so it would be wise for Labour members to recognise how people in the innovation, research, university and wider business communities are responding to those announcements. They are very concerned by the tone of, and the mindset that has been echoed in, all those speeches from UK politicians.
We need our unique advantage in Scotland to be recognised and promoted. The Parliament must urge its Westminster colleagues to ensure that decisions and the mechanisms of delivery respect devolution. The UK Government must work with us to leverage the power of our enterprise agencies and regional structures that are already delivering in Scotland.
I want to offer all members across the chamber who share those ambitions the opportunity to work with the Government in order to attract investment, drive growth, deliver sustainable economic success and make sure that UK Government economic policy takes into account Scotland’s massive economic opportunities.
I move,
That the Parliament recognises that Scotland’s many high-growth sectors, which are driven by world class innovation, deserve greater recognition from, and promotion by, the UK Government, which must not unfairly focus investment in the south-east of England, or the so-called golden triangle of Oxford, Cambridge and London, or treat Scotland as an afterthought, especially when announcing or developing policy.
15:05
It is going to be a long afternoon, given what we have just heard. However, I am pleased that we are having another economy debate—the second in a week. I hope that the trend will continue, because I like nothing more than discussing the Scottish and UK economies. I am going to enjoy these exchanges if we are going to more have more of them. In particular, I look forward to debating the vital role that the UK Government and its spending play in supporting the Scottish economy.
In last week’s debate, the Deputy First Minister accused me of being “relentlessly negative”—I think that was the term she used. It sounds like the tables have turned today, because the relentless negativity is coming from the Scottish National Party front bench in terms of what the UK Government has done. I would like to bring a little light, balance and positivity to the debate, for the benefit of the SNP front bench.
I hold no candle for the current UK Labour Government and will let my Labour colleagues who are sitting opposite defend what it is doing. The biggest concern that I hear from the business community is about the increase in employer national insurance contributions that is coming in just next month. I want to concentrate my efforts on what Conservative Governments did over the previous 14 years, from 2010 onwards.
Will the member give way?
Of course.
I recognise that the member will want to set out what his Government did. I start by commending it for announcing the supercomputer for the University of Edinburgh. Does he share our negative disappointment about the current Government’s decision not to come through on that?
Yes—I agree with the Deputy First Minister on that point.
A range of other projects were proposed by the previous Conservative Government, not least projects that were funded through the towns fund, which affected, for example, Dunfermline and Perth, in my region. That funding has now been cancelled, which is very regrettable.
Let me talk about what the previous Conservative Government did, and put some of this into context. According to the Scottish Government’s own “Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland” figures, the Barnett formula delivers nearly £2,400 extra for every man, woman and child in Scotland compared with what is spent elsewhere in the United Kingdom. That is money that would not be available if this Government got its way and separated us from the rest of the United Kingdom.
In addition, we saw a programme of direct investment in Scotland from the previous UK Government, totalling nearly £3 billion of its spending. We saw £1.5 billion investment in city, region and growth deals—money coming into vital projects in Scotland delivering key infrastructure, innovations and projects in the culture and tourism space.
I can mention two examples in my own region. The excellent new Perth museum is drawing many more visitors than expected to the centre of Perth, helping the local city centre economy. It showcases the city and surrounding area’s history and is home to the stone of destiny. If members have not visited the museum yet, I encourage them to do so and, while they are, to spend some money. In Invergowrie, the James Hutton Institute, which is world leading in crop innovation, is benefiting from growth deal investment and is creating jobs and delivering world-beating science.
Direct investment does not stop there. We have seen a further £1.4 billion in levelling up investment, and the freeports that the minister referred to. Let us not forget that, initially, the Scottish Government was against the freeports, perhaps due to the influence of the anti-growth Greens who were in government at the time. Fortunately, the Deputy First Minister stepped in and good sense prevailed—and now, thank goodness, we have the freeports. However, that was a UK Conservative Government initiative.
We have seen the investment zones and projects to regenerate town centres. On top of that, we see vital local community projects being directly supported by levelling up funding: funding for local sports clubs and cultural projects, all of which have benefited from direct UK Government investment.
I want to focus on two sectors in particular. The first is the defence sector, which is relatively more important to the Scottish economy than it is to that of the UK as a whole. The sector employs more than 13,000 people in Scotland and accounts for £2 billion in economic turnover. That number of people—13,000—employed in defence is higher than the number of defence employees in London.
The Ministry of Defence spends more per head in Scotland than in the rest of the UK: an average of £380, which is higher than the UK average of £370. That spend in Scotland grew 13 per cent from 2018 to 2021-22. The jobs created by it tend to be highly skilled, in sectors such as shipbuilding, engineering, science and technology. We saw the benefit of the spend on the two new UK aircraft carriers, which were built on the Clyde and the Forth. Babcock in Rosyth, in my region, continues to benefit from the UK Government’s shipbuilding programme.
Looking at the uncertain world that we now face, there will be a need—recognised by the Prime Minister—to increase our defence spending. That has already been signalled and I expect that it will have to go yet further. That is a tremendous opportunity for Scotland. It will support our economy, develop skills and provide careers and opportunities to expand on what is already a very successful defence sector, in which we lead the world with some of our technology. For example, Leonardo provides radar systems for Lockheed Martin that are sold across the world, supporting thousands of jobs in the Scottish economy. That should have the whole-hearted support of every party in this chamber.
Of course, that happens only because of UK Government spend. Scotland benefits from that spend, and if the spend increases, Scotland will benefit even more. There will need to be positive engagement from the Scottish Government to make sure that that happens: a celebration of our defence sector, which, frankly, too many colleagues in this chamber seem to be embarrassed about.
Yesterday, when the First Minister made his statement on Ukraine, he spoke positively about the opportunities for defence in Scotland. I wish that that positivity was reflected among all the SNP back benchers. Unfortunately, too many of them seem to be ashamed of our defence sector.
Some of us will remember the dreadful event that took place more than a year ago in the Parliament, when young apprentices from the defence industries came in and were subject to abuse—they were heckled as they arrived, simply because of the sector in which they worked. That was a disgraceful and shocking set of scenes, cheerleadered by a member of this Parliament from the Green Party—frankly, that was disgraceful. If we are to see more opportunities in the defence sector, we, in the Parliament, must be positive about it, otherwise young people will not be encouraged to take up apprenticeships, which are vital.
I hope that we will have some leadership from the SNP Government on this issue. We have already seen, for example, the entire Royal Navy submarine fleet relocated to the Clyde, bringing with it jobs. There will be other opportunities for Scotland, too, but we must make sure that the Scottish Government is welcoming of those new jobs and that investment.
I will mention one more sector: energy. We are seeing huge investment at present—we debated that just yesterday afternoon—in green technologies and the renewable energy sector. That is very welcome and it is funded by electricity bill payers right across the United Kingdom. It is the UK energy market that provides the money that we need for huge developments, particularly in offshore wind, that drive economic regeneration in the Highlands and across other parts of Scotland. UK Government support underpins the regulatory framework and makes sure that those jobs are coming and developing a new economy for the future.
It is just a pity, as I highlighted last week—indeed, this issue came up in yesterday’s debate on Scotland’s renewable future—that the SNP Government’s anti-nuclear stance means that we cannot benefit from jobs in that sector.
In the same vein, we need to ensure that there is a viable future for oil and gas. Labour has already set its face against oil and gas, and the SNP equivocates when it comes to the proposed new Rosebank and Jackdaw oil fields. We in the Scottish Conservatives are very clear that we need to continue with the extraction of oil and gas from the North Sea, not least to provide energy security and reduce our reliance on imports. The UK Government should be supportive of that approach.
There is much to celebrate in the record of the previous UK Government in investing directly in the Scottish economy, and there are great opportunities for the future in energy and defence. We should be seizing those opportunities for Scotland and not carping from the sidelines. Those are the points that I make in my amendment, which I am pleased to move.
I move amendment S6M-16667.3, to leave out from “deserve” to end and insert:
“benefit significantly from an abundance of direct investment initiatives established under the former UK Conservative administration, including £3 billion in Levelling Up funding, City Region and Growth Deals, Green Freeports, the UK Shared Prosperity Fund, and the British Business Bank; recognises that the importance and significance of these investments demonstrate the commitment that was held by the former UK Conservative administration to supporting economic growth in Scotland; acknowledges the full responsibility that is held by the Scottish Government for economic outcomes deriving from its devolved powers, and calls on the UK Labour administration to hold to the critical pledges made by its predecessors to level up Scotland’s economic prosperity.”
15:16
It was with genuine disappointment that I read the motion that we have been asked to discuss. That said, I agreed with almost every word in the first half of the minister’s opening speech. There is huge potential in the Scottish economy, whether in the vast opportunities in innovation or the strength of many of the institutions in our university sector and the knowledge that is learned there, although, at the moment, too many of those institutions have been weakened by the 22 per cent real-terms cut in funding for Scottish students and the financial situation that they continue to find themselves in.
However, the second half of the minister’s speech was far below par in that regard. It was a sad indication of a lack of a change of mindset on the part of the governing party, members of which have frequently told me that they have seen a transformation in the attitude of the UK Government over recent months with regard to its ability and willingness to work with the Scottish Government. When I speak to members of the UK Cabinet, they say to me that they simply think that they are doing their jobs. The comparison there is with their predecessors, who, frankly, were not doing their jobs. We need to work together and make sure that we have the best interests of Scotland ahead of us.
Last July, the whole of Scotland voted to put years of grievance and division behind us. It rejected the symbiotes of shared grievance, who are invested in mutual failure and rancour. I suggest that today’s debate is timely, because it gives a very good example of what can be done. In the past two hours, the UK Labour Government has announced a major investment of more than £55 million in the port of Cromarty Firth. That will drive growth and create hundreds of jobs in floating offshore wind. The expansion of that port will make it the first port in the UK that is able to make floating offshore wind turbines on site and at scale. That is exactly the kind of first-mover advantage that the minister said that Scotland should be securing as a country and as an economy.
I am pleased that the member agreed with 50 per cent of my speech—I would have been worried if he had agreed with 100 per cent of it. When he reflects on how his party has plummeted to around 18 per cent in the opinion polls since the UK general election in July, and on the fact that the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer has said that the key to UK economic growth is to focus on the south-east of England—Oxford, Cambridge and London—does he agree with that philosophy?
I simply do not recognise that description of the chancellor’s approach, and I can set out exactly why that is the case. As the chancellor for the whole of the UK, she makes speeches in different locations across the country, so she will not constantly speak about Scotland. Clearly, that is the role of ministers here. It is right that she supports Scotland, and I will set out exactly how she does that.
Will the member take an intervention?
No, thank you, sir.
I will set that out in some detail. The investment that I have just mentioned will support up to 1,000 skilled jobs in the construction, installation and operation of offshore floating wind. Far from deprioritising Scotland, as the minister has suggested Labour is doing, we have put the clean energy mission that defines so much of the animating purpose of the Scottish economy at the front and centre of the UK Labour Government’s economic plans. When I speak to businesses across Scotland, it is clear to me that it is that mission that is driving their focus, their investment globally and what they are doing as businesses here, in Scotland.
Let me give some further examples. There was the budget boost of an additional £5.2 billion for Scotland, with £60 billion being the largest settlement in the history of devolution, and the provision of more money for public services and infrastructure, all of which will help our economy to grow.
Will Michael Marra take an intervention?
No thank you, sir.
There is a further £1.4 billion for local growth projects—at least £200 million for specific Scottish towns, including £20 million for growth and regeneration in my home city of Dundee. Just last month, I was with the Secretary of State for Scotland at the V&A in Dundee, announcing another £2.6 million of funding there, which will help to drive the city economy with tourist footfall and keep the Dundee tills ringing.
Just a few days ago, £200 million was announced from the national wealth fund to secure the future of the Grangemouth economy—a significant investment that was announced by the Prime Minister in Scotland, talking about Scotland and Scottish jobs and answering the call for Government to support the workers in that area. There was £125 million for Great British Energy, which is to be headquartered in Aberdeen, helping to attract investment for our clean energy future in the nation’s—and Europe’s—energy capital. There was £25 million for the 10-year investment in the Argyll and Bute growth deal—and there is much more.
However, we have to be clear that none of that was inevitable. In our debate last week about the budget and the budget process, we said that we cannot just will the ends; we have to will the means. The taxes that we often discuss are the cost of being able to invest in our economy.
The scale of the mess of the public finances has made some of those decisions difficult. Labour inherited not just a black hole but public services that were in crisis and zero growth in an economy that had flatlined for more than a decade. The disastrous and inept Tory Government had made to Scottish towns and areas many promises that it had no intention whatsoever of keeping. The evidence of that is in the fact that it had spent the annual national reserve three times over in the first quarter of the year.
Difficult decisions were involved in how to raise the money that I spoke about, but it is right that we invest. UK Labour Government colleagues stand ready to work in partnership with the Scottish Government and other stakeholders to deliver for the people of Scotland. That has been very clearly demonstrated, as I have started to set out, in the first eight months—only eight months—of the Labour Government. However, will it find a willing partner in the Scottish Government? By the tone of much of what the minister has said, it does not sound as though that will be the case.
I suggest that the SNP Government should start, in part, by putting its own house in order when it talks about investment. We can look to the report from the investor panel that was commissioned by the Scottish Government. I do not think that the Government expected that to be quite so excoriating. The report found that
“There are few visible opportunities for scale investment”
and
“Planning decisions are slow and sit in the system for unacceptably long periods”.
We could illustrate that by talking about Berwick Bank, which has just passed its second anniversary of sitting on the desks of the Scottish Government, and the huge impediment that that means for investment in the supply chain in Scotland, given the potential squandering of such a signal investment.
The investor panel goes on:
“It is not apparent that the Scottish Government considers the impact of its actions on investment appetite”.
All of that is a damning indictment of the prevailing approach—if we can call it that—of the Government as a whole. We can also look at its approach to the housing market and other areas.
Today’s grievance motion comes to us from an era that should have ended last July. The UK Labour Government, with Scottish Labour MPs at its heart, is possible because the people of Scotland willed it. Today’s announcement about the port of Cromarty Firth serves to underline that. Rightly, the Government stands ready to work with the Scottish Government for the good of Scotland’s economy and people. It is for the SNP to decide whether it wants to do that or to retreat back into the grievance, chaos and decline to which I hoped we had said goodbye last year.
I move amendment S6M-16667.1, to leave out from “deserve” to end and insert:
“must gain greater recognition in order to reach their potential, attract investment and deliver growth and opportunity across Scotland; welcomes the UK Government’s commitment to investing in Scotland since July 2024, which includes £200 million to secure the future of Grangemouth, £125 million for Great British Energy, based in Aberdeen, £5 million to support the Scotch Whisky industry, £1.4 billion in important local growth projects of which there is at least £200 million to revive specific Scottish towns, support for Glasgow City Region and North East Scotland Investment Zones and a commitment that Glasgow will be one of the four initial regions to benefit from strategic partnerships with the new National Wealth Fund; notes that these measures have been announced within months of a Labour administration, and, by contrast, the Scottish National Party administration took 16 years to convene an investor panel to make recommendations on how Scotland can attract international capital investment; understands that the investor panel for mobilising international capital to help finance the transition to net zero highlighted significant issues, including that the ‘prevailing perception is that the Scottish Government and wider public sector is not supportive of business’ and that ‘the current investment pipeline is too diffuse. A pipeline needs to be formed of projects that are properly costed, shaped and prioritised. It needs to be a real pipeline, not a wish list’; further understands that addressing these concerns will be key to unlocking the potential of Scotland to attract investment, and calls for the Scottish Government to use all levers available to it, and to work constructively with the UK Government, to achieve the shared ambition of delivering growth and prosperity across Scotland.”
15:23
When it comes to the motion and the debate, if London is stripped out of the economic data, the performance report for the UK looks different. Certainly, a lack of investment generally in anything north of Cambridge becomes visible, and the signs of the regions dealing with the endemic poverty that was ground into place during the Thatcher years become obvious.
However, if we are to speak about really rebalancing the economy, both Scotland and the wider UK have a bigger challenge ahead of them. The fever smell in the air and the sound on the wind is a drive for growth, because growth will magically solve all our problems, right? Never mind that the USA, which has had the largest growth for the longest time, has lower life expectations, more citizens who do not have access to healthcare, a higher rate of maternal mortality, more violent crime and poorer work-life balance than European countries that have lower rates of growth. The US child poverty rate is more than double that of the UK, Sweden and France. The average American has a carbon footprint of around 16 tonnes, which is one of the highest in the world, while the average European has a carbon footprint of around 7.25 tonnes. Clearly, growth is not everything.
Can the member explain the causal link between economic growth and violent crime?
The causal link is that a focus on economic growth, instead of on tackling inequality, results in crime. We know that societies that have gross inequality, such as America, have more crime. Where societies are more equal and people feel that they have a greater opportunity in life, as is the case in Europe and in European countries that have higher taxes and more opportunity for people, there is lower crime. The member is shaking his head at me, but crime rates in Europe are lower than those in America. The inequality that we see in America is part of that story.
Growth is not everything—it does not solve all your problems. Even when you have high growth, you still need redistributive taxation, including wealth taxes, and you have to invest money in public services and in reducing carbon emissions. Maurice Obstfeld, the former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, wrote yesterday in the Financial Times, in an article on the ills of the American economy, about
“appropriate economic policies to help America.”
He said that
“Better targeted policies could include a more redistributive tax system, limits to corporate market power, further healthcare reform, and workforce development.”
It does not matter if you have the highest growth in the world, you still need to do those things. Even with the lower rate of growth that Germany and Japan had between 1980 and 2023, gross domestic product per capita grew at a rate of 1.4 and 1.5 respectively, compared to America’s rate of 1.8. With that lower growth, Germany and Japan managed to provide full-coverage public healthcare and had lower poverty rates and significantly greater longevity. The differences in outcomes for these countries are down to the policy choices that they are making and not to how much growth they have or have not achieved.
To rebalance the economy, we need to be clear about what we are trying to achieve. Increasing pollution, cutting back on the social safety net and cutting back healthcare and benefits might increase your GDP number, but at what cost? The cost is that of lives cut short, of health ruined and of damage to the environment that cannot be undone or that it will be very costly to reverse—the cost of allowing the rich to get richer while the poor get poorer.
When you take the costs for essentials out of the public domain and put them into the private domain, inevitably, the rich can buy them and the poor cannot. That is sometimes called cost savings, but an essential service is not optional. People who are forced, through poverty, to go without heat, timely healthcare, good-quality education and training and good-quality food still need those things and they are harmed by not having them.
Even if the heartless discount the cost of human suffering, they cannot discount the cost to society. Poverty is expensive. People who experience poverty have higher mental and physical medical needs and they are able to contribute less due to lower achievements in work and study. We hear a lot of nonsense about this or that public service or benefit being unaffordable. Rubbish! What we cannot afford is billionaires. We cannot afford to let a few individuals hoard the wealth of millions. The rebalancing of the economy that I would like to see would be a move away from enriching a few people while constantly whittling away at the services that everybody else needs. It would be a move away from subsidising polluters and high-emission industries and investing that money into environmentally sustainable sectors. It would be a move away from a fanatical obsession with GDP growth and a move to a broader focus, ensuring that everyone in society can thrive.
History will tell the tale in the end, but I am sure that the lurch to the far right in America and the distrust of institutions, and even of democracy, that has led to the second election of Donald Trump is, at least in part, due to the disconnect that Americans feel about the story that they are being told about their economy—“Look at that growth”—and the reality that they face every day of not being able to get affordable, good-quality healthcare, food, education or public services.
We need to rebalance the economy towards ordinary people by taxing extreme wealth and the pollution that the very wealthy produce at a rate that far exceeds that of any ordinary person, with private jets, luxury cars and frequent flying. We need the UK to remove the subsidies and tax breaks for high-polluting industries, crack down on tax avoidance and ensure that global corporations pay their taxes and their employees properly. To rebalance our economy, we need to defund the billionaires.
15:30
The motion makes an important point about ensuring that investment does not unfairly focus on one area. I understand the sentiment that is contained in the motion, and, although I recognise the point that it is trying to make, I observe that many of my constituents consider that the central belt of Scotland is often the national focus of the SNP Government. Much of what I am about to say will focus on the islands.
Visitors often remark on how much enterprise there is throughout the northern isles. Regardless of size, there is an enormous amount of enterprise, which is driven in part by geography and a can-do attitude.
Members need look no further than Scotland’s growing space sector. Situated right at the top of the UK, Unst is hosting Europe’s first fully licensed vertical launch spaceport at SaxaVord, which is well placed for low earth orbit satellite launches. Its development grew from the vision of an entrepreneur who recognised the potential of the location and who, with support from the community and local authority, has made it happen. The spaceport recently gained a significant endorsement by way of rocket manufacturer Orbex, which moved from the Scottish Government-backed Sutherland spaceport to SaxaVord.
Shetland is at the heart of energy generation, whether it is oil and gas—which have contributed enormously to the wider economy—or new technologies and renewables such as wind and tidal. One of the world’s most successful wind farms, Burradale, is in Shetland. In Orkney, the European Marine Energy Centre has attracted wave and tidal developers from around the world for the last 20 years.
People often gloss over the contribution that women make to the economy, but during this week of international women’s day, I will not. In my constituency, the long history of Fair Isle knitwear has global reach. Today, we see innovation from new designers who have modernised the world-renowned product, such as French textile artist Marie Bruhat, who has made her home in Fair Isle. There is also production from local factories who export to the far east. Orkney fashion designer Kirsteen Stewart said in an interview that she was
“inspired by the island’s female role models”
to build her successful fashion and design business—women’s enterprise putting the northern isles on the map.
The northern isles can contribute even more to the national economy with investment in infrastructure that is taken for granted on mainland Scotland. Ferries are our roads, and tunnels should be considered national infrastructure and not simply a link for those who live on the islands. Tunnel action groups from Unst and Yell have instructed Norwegian consultants to carry out sonar investigations to progress the ambition of a tunnel network in the northern isles. Funds for that have been raised through private donations—not public money—and the final report should contribute to the determination of potential tunnel alignments. It is another demonstration of the can-do and enterprising attitude, which recognises where the future lies.
A tunnel network is important, as it would speed up delivery of time-sensitive seafood products, including from the growing salmon industry, which is another example of rural and island enterprise. Decades ago, crofters started small-scale salmon farming, and it is now a multi-million pound industry that reaches markets far beyond our shores and contributes to Scotland’s economy.
The UK Government committed levelling up funding for a new Fair Isle ferry and harbour infrastructure, but the external ferry service between Shetland and Aberdeen is under considerable pressure and disruption. Although weather and pump-room flooding may not have been foreseen, the annual dry-dock periods are known yet little has been done to ensure that there is any kind of backup resilience so that businesses and passengers are not left on the quayside.
Digital connectivity across Scotland lags in the areas that are furthest away from our major cities, yet it is essential to conduct business today. The radio teleswitch shut-down is the latest example of a raw deal for rural and island Scotland. Areas of high fuel poverty and poor weather are causing concern and alarm in my constituency as the fundamentals of heating technology change. There is a lack of forthcoming answers from the industry, and no pragmatic, can-do attitude is forthcoming to resolve the issue for rural and island Scotland.
There are many more examples, but with limited time I will conclude. Scotland is overly centralised, and that has got worse over the past 18 years. Too often, island and rural communities are at the back of the queue, and the failure to provide the core connections that they need—broadband, ferries, tunnels and roads—is holding back their economies and businesses. It is important that they are given better infrastructure and more power so that Scotland can reach its potential in renewables, food and drink, forestry, tourism and other critical industries that are rooted in rural and remote areas. It is time that the Scottish Government faced up to that.
We move to the open debate. I advise members that one of the SNP speakers has had to pull out at the last minute in the light of illness. It has been agreed that two of the three SNP speakers shall have nine minutes and the third shall have six minutes. I call Kevin Stewart to speak for up to nine minutes.
15:35
Scotland has extraordinary economic potential. We have been inventors in the past, we have innovated in oil and gas and we have key sectors such as renewables, food and drink, tourism and high-technology research that would do even better if investment was put into play by the UK Government.
Let us look at current regional inequity in the UK. Although the subject of economic regional inequity in the UK can descend into heated public debate, what is not up for debate are the plain facts. For those facts, we need to turn to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, whose data should be beyond political debate. It comes as no surprise to me that, according to OECD official data, the UK ranks 27th out of 31 countries for income equality. Quite simply, the UK is a country where the top 10 per cent are lapping it up while the rest of us are falling behind.
That, by itself, is shameful, but it does not tell the whole story. Inequality in the UK also occurs at a regional and national level. Again, we can turn to the OECD for the plain facts. On GDP per capita, Greater London ranks 11th out of 419 regions in the OECD database, but the median UK region ranks only 179th.
The gulf between London and the rest of us is not an accident. We have been told for years that a pound that is spent in Croydon is worth more than a pound that is spent in Scotland—a Boris Johnson catchphrase, if I remember rightly.
Is Mr Stewart aware that one of the engines of the London economy is the financial services sector? Will he therefore take the advice of Scottish Financial Enterprise and urge his Government to cut income tax in Scotland and recruit some of those skilled workers to Scotland, so that we can grow at a similar pace to the rest of the UK?
Funnily enough, I was just going to come to the London financial sector. We have been promised that Scotland’s wealth flowing south to be invested in London would pull the rest of us up, and that, thanks to the broad shoulders of the UK, we would all march into the sunlit uplands of imperial splendour, but the exact opposite has happened. Since Thatcher began the campaign of using Scotland’s wealth to turn the City of London into a global financial centre, the cold war has ended and we have watched the iron curtain fall. However, it is the small eastern European nations that strode on to the world stage as independent countries that are marching to the sunlit uplands, and not the UK nations and regions. The GDP per capita of the median UK region now sits snugly between the median regions in the former eastern bloc countries of Lithuania and Slovenia. It is a plain fact that, over the past decades, we have been dragged down while those independent European nations have pulled themselves up.
However, the new Labour UK Government, rather than accepting that the policy of London and the south-east first has failed, is just as determined as Thatcher was to continue down the path of failure that will see Scotland’s potential continue to be smothered. What Thatcher began with miners and steelworkers, Starmer is determined to finish with oil and gas workers, with little investment in a just transition.
Last year, we began with a promise of £28 billion of investment in the new green economy. However, the investment—and the jobs that go with it—has disappeared like sna aff a dyke. The much-vaunted GB Energy commitment to Aberdeen has now been reduced to a shared office and the promise of a few hundred jobs that will arrive some time in the next 20 years. Of course, we can also ask: where is the money for the Acorn carbon capture and storage project?
Meanwhile, investment in London continues apace, with the total UK capital spend per person in London being £2,237 last year, in comparison with the figure of £1,789 per person in Scotland. Can we really be surprised that decades of starving investment in Scotland to fund even higher spending in the London bubble results in London increasing its lead at the expense of Scotland?
Although the data from the OECD undeniably shows that years of investment in London has not served Scotland or other UK nations and regions well, it does not tell us why. For that, we need to look at the factors involved in production, which include land, labour and capital. Quite simply, land and labour in London are among the most expensive in the world, and that requires ever-increasing amounts of capital investment to compensate. That means that vital capital investment is going not towards actually growing the economy but simply to cancel out the negative factors of costly land and labour.
That is because, fundamentally, London does not have the land to support its economy, and every natural resource, from energy to food and water, must be shipped there from somewhere else. Given that Scotland is the source of much of the natural resources that London uses, London is benefiting from our fruits of production in a way that we are not. It gets worse year on year, with every bit of growth that is eked out of London making the resource deficit worse.
We can debate the historical merits—although I would rather not—of investing in London during the days of empire but, either way, those days are gone. It is clear that, for many years, investing in London and the south-east has been a long-term drag on Scotland and other UK nations and regions. Given that, would it not be better to use our own fruits of production to grow our economy in Scotland?
I understand that long-term steady growth in Scotland is not that attractive to politicians in the Westminster bubble, with their eyes on the imperial capital and the next election, and their desperation to stay in their jobs. For them, the quick buck from throwing ever-increasing amounts of money into London and the south-east is much more attractive, but that is exactly why we are in the position that we are. Years of Westminster short-termism have been causing long-term pain for no gain. It is time for independence.
15:44
As we all know, throughout the centuries, Scotland has produced an army of great inventors whose boundless imagination and inspiration have set us apart from everybody else. Scots are responsible for the television, penicillin, tidal energy, turbines and Dolly the sheep, and let us not forget the telephone or the regrettable deep-fried Mars bar, ATMs, daily disposable contact lenses, the blast furnace, the steam hammer and threshing machines, to name but a few inventions. Scotland has always been at the forefront of world-class innovation. I agree that we must do all that is in our power to ensure that that amazing trend continues, which means that greater resources must be found for the education sector and our colleges and universities, where groundbreaking ideas are spawned and, I hope, ultimately brought to life.
I ask members to forgive me but, like my colleague Murdo Fraser, I will not be shouting from the rafters about the performance of the current Labour Government, which is woeful. Its pre-election promises are simply turning to dust, which is a great pity, given the vital role that the UK Government plays in supporting the Scottish economy—or it certainly did when the previous Conservative Government was in power.
As Craig Hoy has already mentioned—and, no doubt, as members will be aware—I have been campaigning relentlessly for the upgrading of the A75 and A77. Those are two of the most critical roads in the country and are responsible for transporting more than £6 billion-worth of trade between the UK and Ireland and beyond every year. Since devolution, investment in those roads has, sadly, been neglected by the Scottish Government. It was only under the Conservatives that £8 million was allocated to the A75 on the back of Sir Peter Hendy’s connectivity review. Incidentally, the Scottish National Party Government refused to take part in that review, unlike the other devolved Administrations and, indeed, the Republic of Ireland. The review highlighted the importance of the A75 out of all the roads in the UK. Although, commendably, Labour remains committed to improving the A75, the party has trimmed down the initial investment to £5 million, which I suppose is better than nothing, particularly considering the SNP Government’s lack of investment, despite infrastructure being a devolved matter.
Often dubbed the forgotten or ignored corner of Scotland, the south-west benefited enormously under the previous UK Government, particularly through the levelling up scheme, under which projects in Scotland shared £122 million in funding. Indeed, nearly £23 million was invested in the south of Scotland, while an additional £14 million will go towards improving transport links in Dumfries and Galloway, the provision of new electric vehicle charging points for cars and electric buses, and the creation of new transport hubs in five towns in the region. In previous rounds of the levelling up scheme, £343 million was earmarked for Scotland, meaning that a total of £465 million has been allocated. In addition, 12 projects in Dumfries and Galloway benefited from £3 million as part of the UK shared prosperity fund.
The late First Minister Alex Salmond promised £8 million of investment in Stranraer during a visit to the then new port at Cairnryan, and in 2016, the former minister and MSP for the South of Scotland, Aileen McLeod, committed to prioritising the A75 and A77 before losing her seat. Regrettably, those election promises have failed to materialise and, despite more recent, similar, promises from the SNP Government, they will happen only after a funding commitment made by the UK Conservative Government during the previous parliamentary session. Some £18 million will now be spent regenerating the underused waterfront at Stranraer to create a vibrant marine leisure destination, mostly thanks to funding for the Borderlands inclusive growth deal, which totals £450 million. It is also hoped that the Stranraer and Cairnryan area could capitalise on the Northern Ireland enhanced investment zone, which aims to provide grants and tax breaks to the region. Again, that is an initiative of the previous UK Government.
It is crucial to recognise that Scotland already enjoys significant autonomy in economic development. The Scottish Government has the power to tailor policies and investment to suit the unique needs of the Scottish economy. That autonomy allows Scotland to leverage its strength in sectors such as renewable energy, life sciences and fintech, and it should ensure that those industries receive the attention and support that they deserve.
The SNP Government’s motion focuses on regional investment and risks creating division that pits different parts of the UK against one another, which is par for the course for the nationalist Government. Instead of fostering unity and collaboration, the motion leads only to a fragmented approach to economic development. We must remember that the strength of the UK economy lies in its diversity and interconnectivity. By working together and sharing resources, we can achieve a more balanced and prosperous economy for all.
The latest survey carried out by South of Scotland Enterprise, which involved more than 600 businesses, revealed that the biggest challenge facing them is economic uncertainty, which is influencing some decisions around investment and growth. A significant reason for that uncertainty is the on-going constitutional grievance that this nationalist SNP Government continues to peddle in ridiculous debates such as this.
I suggest that both the UK Government and the Scottish Government would do well to follow the example set by the previous Conservative UK Government if they want to see the Scottish economy grow and high-growth sectors continue to prosper.
15:50
I am disappointed that the Scottish Government chose to lodge the motion, which is based on a selection of recent UK Government announcements, and to play a blame game, rather than working collaboratively with the Labour Government in Westminster to deliver positive changes for Scotland.
I do not disagree with the premise that, for too long, wealth and investment have been concentrated in the south-east of England. We should ensure that all areas of the UK benefit from growth, especially Scotland. Devolution is a key mechanism to achieve that. In last week’s debate on investment, members, including me, discussed the importance of investment in infrastructure, including housing and transport, as a catalyst for growth. Many of the announcements made by the UK Government were in those very areas, such as transport and housing. The Scottish Government’s motion is confusing, given that it has control of those areas.
I repeat—
Will Mr Choudhury give way?
I have a lot to get through.
I repeat my remark that, if we want to have growth, we need investment in infrastructure, and the Scottish Government should show ambition and use the power that it has in those areas.
Regardless of recent news in England, we also have to be clear that the Labour Government in Westminster values Scotland and has invested in Scotland, and it has made it clear that it intends to continue to do so. To secure the future of the site and retrain workers, £200 million has been invested in Grangemouth. There has also been more than £125 million for GB Energy, creating jobs with offices in Glasgow, Edinburgh and Aberdeen, and the national wealth fund, which meets our strategic goal by de-risking private investment, has just made its first investment in Scotland. Both the Secretary of State for Science, Innovation and Technology and the Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, have said that Glasgow could be an AI growth zone. On a smaller scale, North Edinburgh Arts is receiving money from the community ownership fund, creating a community hub that will contain council services, spaces for artists and cafes. Today, of course, ministers rejected an English bid to change the definition of single malt whisky. Those are not the actions of a Government that considers Scotland to be “an afterthought”. When that investment in Scotland was put to a vote in the UK budget, the SNP voted against it.
However, Government investment alone is not enough to deliver economic growth. Our planning system must be reformed to expedite the progress of applications and get businesses building, not waiting. The Scottish Government’s investor panel was clear that unacceptable delays in the planning system are making investment more uncertain and increasing costs, contributing to the perception that Scotland is simply not open for business. Issues with planning contribute to the housing emergency, which is eating away at the disposable income of the public, who are spending more and more of their salary renting or saving rather than boosting other areas of our economy.
Finally, I will touch on another issue that was raised by the investor panel. The current landscape for attracting private investors is cluttered with various Government agencies that have different roles and funds. Our investment agencies should be easy to access and involve businesses in strategy and decision making, with a pipeline of projects ready for private investment.
Ultimately, members will repeat Scotland’s strengths, and we are right to be proud of our advantages, but we need to see those strengths put to work and deliver economic growth because, regardless of any recent UK Government moves, Scotland has lagged behind the rest of the UK in growth for 10 years.
The Scottish Government should be focusing on tackling the issues that we face rather than bickering with a UK Labour Government that is interested in investing in and collaborating with Scotland.
I call George Adam. You have around nine minutes, Mr Adam.
15:56
Thank you, Presiding Officer. I am happy to stand here for nine minutes to talk about how the imbalance in our economy affects the people of Paisley and the people of Scotland in general.
I say at the beginning that my politics are not the politics of grievance, as others have said. I get angry and disappointed because I have been in Parliament and in politics long enough to see that UK Governments come and go, promising the earth but never delivering for Scotland. We end up hearing about the golden triangle of Oxford, Cambridge and London and about other areas that get investment, but it never seems to be in our areas and in our communities. That is why our focus should be on Scotland. It is more about disappointment than about the politics of grievance.
Today’s debate is on a matter of fundamental importance. The economic imbalance in the UK and the urgent need for Scotland’s vast potential to be recognised and fully supported are important for us all, whether in Paisley or in the rest of Scotland. Scotland’s economy is rich in innovation, industry and ingenuity, yet, time and again, Westminster neglects our contributions and stifles our opportunities.
The UK Government continues to pour resources into the so-called golden triangle of Oxford, Cambridge and London, leaving Scotland as an afterthought. That has to change. The minister, Richard Lochhead, was right when he said that there is much uncertainty in the world, and it is my belief—I think it is also his belief—that now is the time for us to grab the opportunity. It is for us here in Scotland to make sure that Scotland does not miss the opportunities that are available.
I believe that the UK Government is failing Scotland now, has failed us in the past and will continue to do so, but I am willing to work with anyone who can make a difference, because this is about people’s jobs and future financial stability. I will work with anyone, and I know that the Scottish Government thinks that way, too.
When we hear about Oxford, Cambridge and London, it is highly concerning to me. I have heard it a million times before and, once again, investment is being taken away from Scotland as the UK Government focuses on down south. We need to focus on excellence up here in Scotland and what we can provide. Locally, Paisley international airport—known to others as Glasgow international airport—is one of the clearest examples of how we can move things forward. In the future, Grangemouth could be a hub for sustainable aviation fuel.
I, too, represent the community to which George Adam refers, including Glasgow airport. Does he share my concern that it is possible to get a direct train from Glasgow central station to Manchester airport but not possible to get a direct train to Glasgow airport, which is a significant challenge to achieving the growth that we need in our area?
I did not notice Paul O’Kane at the recent Strathclyde Partnership for Transport Clyde metro hub meeting—SPT is working on that for the future as we speak. This is about a positive way of looking at the future. Let us leave the negativity to others and look at what we can do.
The future for Grangemouth is as a hub for sustainable aviation fuel. One of the clearest examples of the economic imbalance in the UK is the lack of UK Government investment in Grangemouth. It is an industrial site that is primed to become a leader in sustainable aviation. Fuel production studies have confirmed that Grangemouth is ideally placed to support that transition, yet Westminster has focused its funding efforts elsewhere. If you are Manchester United, you can get £1 billion for the redevelopment of Old Trafford, but there is nothing for the people of Grangemouth.
Will George Adam give way?
I wonder whether Mr Marra will want to answer that.
It is bizarre that George Adam has missed in the earlier speeches and my exchanges with the minister the fact that, just last week, an additional £200 million was announced to support the people of Grangemouth. Does he call that “nothing”?
I will say only that there was £1 billion given to Ineos, which is an owner of Manchester United, and there was also £600 million given to Ineos for a place in Belgium. Come on—who is on the side of the people of Grangemouth? It is definitely not the Labour Party.
When we talk about transport infrastructure, we need to make sure that Glasgow airport is part of the sustainable aviation fuel future, which is why we need to look at Grangemouth as the site for that. Sustainable aviation fuel produces up to 70 per cent less carbon emissions, and it is made using materials from household waste, agricultural residues, used cooking oils and green nitrogen. Grangemouth is perfectly sited for that.
That is why it is getting £200 million.
There are people shouting from the side, and they are almost as irrelevant as some of the things that they have tried to provide. I return to the £1 billion that is being given to a chancer who is shutting down Grangemouth, as opposed to the people we are trying to represent.
With the right backing, Grangemouth could supply the aviation industry with sustainable fuel, strengthening the role of Glasgow airport and reinforcing Scotland’s commitment to net zero. Instead, we have a Labour UK Government that is following in the footsteps of the Tories by overpromising and underdelivering for Scotland. That is why the SNP will continue to demand the investment that Scotland deserves.
There is innovation in Paisley—as everyone will know, I am always the first to talk about that—and the University of the West of Scotland has research on economic growth as one of its prime ideas. Paisley is not just a town of heritage and history; it is a centre of innovation. UWS is leading the way in cutting-edge technology and research. During a recent visit, I met Professor Naeem Ramzan of the university’s school of computing, engineering and physical sciences. Some of the work that is being done there is incredible. Let us invest in that excellence and in what UWS is doing.
I will highlight one innovation that UWS researchers have developed: artificial intelligence technology that is capable of rapidly detecting serious health conditions from X-ray images. Originally designed to detect Covid-19, that AI can now identify tuberculosis, pneumonia and even certain cancers with remarkable accuracy. That breakthrough could revolutionise healthcare not just in Scotland but worldwide, reducing pressures on our national health service and improving outcomes for patients.
In addition, UWS’s partnership with Kibble is delivering pioneering remote health monitoring, which provides real-time support for vulnerable young people in crisis.
Those innovations show the immense potential for Scotland’s knowledge economy, yet, once again, we see a lack of UK-wide investment in our research institutions, as the Labour Government prioritises investment elsewhere. Those examples are the type of innovation that Scotland needs and that we need to continue with in the future.
Scotland’s economic strength and Westminster’s failure are on-going. Under the SNP Government, Scotland has received record foreign direct investment, outperforming the rest of the UK outside of London. We are leading the way in renewables, life sciences and data-driven innovation, yet Westminster continues to hold Scotland back.
Just look at the chancellor’s recent economic plans. They offer nothing for Scotland, they fail to replace the European Union structural funds, they fail to deliver the promised £1 billion for carbon capture and they fail to secure Grangemouth’s future—no matter what Labour MSPs say in here today, they have failed to secure Grangemouth’s future. Those failures show that Labour is no different from the Tories when it comes to prioritising Scotland’s needs.
Scotland’s economic success is not just a possibility but a certainty, if we are given the right tools and investment. We have the industries, the talent and the drive to build a fairer, greener and more prosperous nation. To do that, we need a UK Government that recognises Scotland’s worth. The SNP will continue to fight for a fair balance. We will continue to push for investment in Grangemouth, Glasgow airport, UWS and all of Scotland’s economic centres. Ultimately, we will continue to make the case that Scotland’s best future lies with independence, where decisions about our economy are made here, in Scotland, for Scotland.
16:05
This debate has been dreadful; it has been truly awful. Perhaps it is one of the worst, but—to quote the minister—that is given that there is quite a “low bar”. Just look round the chamber: we are calling it a debate, but it is not really a debate. Members are reading their scripts and everyone else has got their heads down. They have been responding to emails and reading correspondence because there is not much enthusiasm for the motion. That is not to do with the topic’s being the economy. We could have spoken about the economy in a positive way and about how the two Governments could work together. However, we have a motion that is couched in grievance and that is inviting opposition against the UK Government rather than looking at what could be done more positively.
Let us remember that this is Scottish Government debating time, so this is seen as an easy topic for Government ministers to trot into the chamber to speak about, rather than speaking about the more important issues that our constituents would, I think, like us to be discussing in the chamber today. It might not have been comfortable for the Scottish Government, but we could have had the Cabinet Secretary for Health and Social Care speaking about issues to do with people in the north-east waiting in ambulances for 12 hours outside accident and emergency departments. We could have had the Cabinet Secretary for Education and Skills, with her team, speaking about rising levels of violence in schools, or we could have had the Cabinet Secretary for Transport speaking about a point that I put to the Minister for Employment and Investment about the A96 corridor review earlier. Until my question this afternoon, we did not know how many people had responded to that review or when the Government was going to outline its response.
Will the member give way?
I will give way to the minister in a moment.
As Craig Hoy said in his intervention on the Minister for Business, roads are so important to our economy. However, the A96, connecting Aberdeen with Inverness, is still not fully dualled. The promise to do that by 2030 is now an absolute fantasy. I am absolutely certain that, if the A96 ran between Glasgow and Edinburgh, it would have been fully dualled, but, because it connects Inverness and Aberdeen, it is not.
I know that Douglas Ross likes his soapbox and likes to chase local headlines—I am very familiar with that—but does he not think that it is important for the Scottish Parliament to discuss and debate the fact that the UK economic strategy is, according to Rachel Reeves, to build up London, Cambridge and Oxford? Does he not think that, in a few years’ time, if that has happened, we will look back and think that perhaps we should have said a lot more about that and tried to stop it happening?
The minister should look behind him. It is not me he should be criticising about being slightly dismissive and despondent about the debate. Look at the empty SNP seats behind him: his is the governing party of Scotland and its members cannot even be bothered to turn up to the debate, because of the grievance that the minister and the Scottish Government have put in the motion.
I do not know why the minister is suggesting that I am trying to grab a headline—it is already a headline that the SNP has failed to dual the A96. That has an impact on our local economy in Moray, in the Highlands and across the north-east. Ministers might not like to listen to that, but it is the reality.
I also think that we have to accept that there has been good working between the previous Conservative UK Government and the SNP Government in Holyrood, and between the new Labour UK Government and the SNP Government. I disagree with a lot of what the Labour Government has done, but there is the £200 million investment in Grangemouth.
Prior to that, the Conservative UK Government made significant investments in Scotland. I remember the Moray growth deal, which I was part of as one of the local representatives. When it was signed, the funding in it was the highest per head of population for a growth deal anywhere in the country. That welcome funding came from the UK Government, the Scottish Government and other bodies that are investing in the local economy.
We had the levelling-up funding of £18.2 million, going from the UK Government to Moray Council for local projects and delivering in its area.
Then we had the Elgin town fund. A couple of years ago, I was very proud to see the announcement of £20 million for the Elgin town fund. That is a huge amount of money going to Moray Council in just a few years, which shows that there can be investment from both of Scotland’s Governments.
I was delighted that the Labour Government recently reannounced the towns fund. Interestingly, the towns that the Labour Government announced last week, or earlier this week, were exactly the same ones as were selected by the previous Conservative Government. I am delighted that Jenny Urquhart, who I suggested should chair the board for the Elgin town fund, will continue in that role, working with local partners in order to see local projects in Elgin make a difference.
Surely no Scottish Government minister can stand up and say that that is not UK Government money coming to communities in Scotland and delivering. That is what we should be celebrating and seeking more of.
I recognise the investment from the UK Government. As regeneration minister, I welcome that and the city deals.
In all seriousness, does Douglas Ross not recognise that one of the real strategic problems that successive UK Governments have wrestled with for decades is the significant imbalance? I applaud London: it is a great city that makes a significant contribution to the UK, Europe and global economies. However, we have appalling levels of regional inequality and variation in productivity across the English regions and the nations. Although transfers are welcome, it is vital to create new industries and economic opportunities in different parts of the UK.
When there is a real opportunity with cutting-edge new technologies such as AI, we need to use the comparative advantage in places such as Oxford and Cambridge, but we need to share the opportunity equitably right across the UK so that the whole UK can prosper.
I can give you time back for both interventions, Mr Ross.
I am grateful, Presiding Officer.
I agree with much of what the minister said. However, I gently say that the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer not mentioning Scotland in a speech does not mean that Scotland will not get benefits from resources. It is a bit petty to say that Scotland’s not being mentioned in one place, or another bit not looking at the north of the United Kingdom, means that Scotland is not being considered. It clearly is: we have seen investment in Scotland from the previous UK Conservative Government and the UK Labour Government.
I agree with the point about regional inequality. As a representative of the Highlands and Islands and as someone who lives in Moray, I do not believe that the Scottish Government delivers for the whole of Scotland. I think that the Government has a central-belt bias and that we are poorer for it in the north-east. [Interruption.] Richard Lochhead can laugh at that, but I go back to the fact that the A96 has not been dualled. That dualling was a promise that has been made by successive SNP Governments, but has not been delivered.
Our maternity unit was downgraded in 2018 for one year, but it is still downgraded and is not a consultant-led unit. That is another inequality in Scotland that is within the responsibilities of the Scottish Government, and is something that I would like to change. If we have debates on such matters, the chamber will be fuller and we will be a better Parliament for it.
16:12
Investment in growing the Scottish economy is important for the future of our country. I want to mention two issues, the first of which is Brexit.
Post-Brexit, the UK Government introduced the UK shared prosperity fund, which was meant to replace EU structural funds, including the European regional development fund and the European social fund. Those were EU funds that provided Scotland with significant financial support of about £100 million per year. However, the shared prosperity fund has been widely criticised as being inadequate for Scotland, because the funding is roughly 60 per cent smaller than the EU equivalent.
The gap is even more pronounced when we consider additional programmes such as LEADER and European territorial co-operation, which further bolstered rural and regional development under the EU framework. Once again, that is Scotland being let down by Westminster Governments that promise much but deliver little.
Just 15 months ago, the then Tory Secretary of State for Scotland, Alister Jack, issued a press release that began:
“The UK Government’s levelling up funding in Scotland has now reached £2.92 billion”.
That included funding for the 12 city deals of £1.5 billion up to the year 2034. In January, the Economy and Fair Work Committee, of which I am a member, heard from the Labour Secretary of State for Scotland, Ian Murray, that
“at the moment in terms of the money that is being put in ... We have given the commitment to the 12 city region deals.”—[Official Report, Economy and Fair Work Committee, 15 January 2025; c 8.]
Why use the words “at the moment”?
One reason might be that the spending review that is due later this month is likely to include spending cuts, and many experts predict significant reductions being made across Government departments due to the current economic climate, defence spending increases and pressure to balance the budget. The so-called levelling up agenda, which was heralded with fanfare by the previous Tory Administration, dangled a carrot of £2.9 billion for Scotland. Such funds were meant to breathe life into our towns, regenerate our high streets and bolster our local economies, but the agenda was not fully funded. The Tories overpromised and Labour has, so far, underdelivered, which is leaving Scotland to pick up the pieces once again.
We are told by Ian Murray that major decisions have to wait until the spending review, at the same time as Rachel Reeves, his Labour chancellor, is announcing plans to transform the Oxford-Cambridge-London triangle into a major economic hub by investing in rail and road upgrades, research hospitals and digital tech, and by delivering high levels of research funding in order to drive collaboration between Oxford, Cambridge and London universities as hubs for life sciences. What happened to the inherited financial black hole and awaiting the spending review outcome?
I want to focus the remainder of my remarks on the broken promises in relation to the exascale supercomputer at the University of Edinburgh. In the spring budget of 2023, it was announced that funding would be made available for that next-generation AI computer. The University of Edinburgh was well placed, as it had just celebrated 60 years of computer science and artificial intelligence research. The university is already home to ARCHER2, the country’s current national supercomputer, and it has been home to the United Kingdom’s high-performance computing services for more than 30 years. It is also a partner in the National Robotarium, which is based in my constituency.
Therefore, it was no great surprise when, on 9 October 2023, the University of Edinburgh issued a press release that stated:
“The UK Government has announced the University as the preferred location for the exascale supercomputer, which will be able to perform one billion billion calculations each second.
Once operational, it will provide high-performance computing capability for key research and industry projects across the UK ... Exascale will be housed in a new £31 million wing of EPCC’s Advanced Computing Facility, which has been purpose-built as part of the Edinburgh and South East Scotland City Region Deal.”
Then, on 15 January 2025, Labour’s Ian Murray stated:
“When we came into office, there was a £900 million commitment to the University of Edinburgh for the exascale supercomputer but there was not a penny attached to that commitment. Therefore, some difficult decisions had to be made ... the exascale computer issue has been rolled into the spending review.”—[Official Report, Economy and Fair Work Committee,15 January 2025; c 15.]
Less than two weeks later, on 28 January 2025, the Labour Government issued a press release that was headed, “Chancellor unveils new plans to deliver the Oxford-Cambridge Growth Corridor that will boost the UK economy.” Part of that included a new “AI growth zone”, which was announced for Culham, Oxfordshire, in order to
“speed up planning proposals and build more AI infrastructure ... This starts immediately with work starting on a brand new supercomputer.”
What happened to waiting for the March spending review—or does that apply only to Scotland?
Then, on 29 January 2025, the previous day’s announcement was amended to remove the following sentence:
“The chancellor today announced a call for expressions of interest from regional and local authorities and industry to inform the next stage of the AI growth zone programme.”
Why remove that sentence? Will the University of Edinburgh get that supercomputer? We do not know, but what we do know is that we do not need Westminster’s crumbs to be dangled and then snatched away. We need control of our own resources and destiny.
The SNP has long argued for independence. Let us decide how to level up our own communities, and let us not wait for a Labour chancellor in London to wield a red pen. My message to the UK Government is simple: honour your commitments or step aside and let Scotland build the future that our own people deserve.
16:19
Today is Ash Wednesday, the first day of Lent, and I think that I can chalk most of this afternoon up for my penance, which is useful.
I welcome the opportunity to discuss the need for investment, both public and private, in Scotland to achieve the goals on growth, on which I think that there is a consensus across the chamber. I welcome having time this afternoon to set out much of the investment that has happened since July, the UK Labour Government’s focus on it and its importance to growth.
I begin by agreeing with at least part of the Government’s motion: there are high-growth sectors in Scotland and there is scope for them, and for many others, to go further and faster. Our energy, technology, whisky and manufacturing industries—to name just a few—possess world-class innovation and have the potential to drive significant economic growth in Scotland.
I was struck by something that George Adam said in response to my intervention, which was:
“Let us leave the negativity to others”.
It seems that those on his party’s front bench did not get that memo when they were developing the motion for this afternoon. This is a Scottish Government debate; the Scottish Government chose the topic and drafted the motion, yet it did not include in it any details of real, tangible progress that it could be making to attract greater investment into our economy, and it has failed to provide a pathway for meaningful action.
Instead, it seems to me that we are back to the same old grudge and grievance debates in this place, in which the Government throws up its hands if it feels like it is not getting exactly what it wants. I thought that those days were behind us, because we were promised a new era of working together with the UK Government. It is very disappointing to see the Government motion react to headline investments and ignore, as usual, the detailed and significant investment that is coming to Scotland.
We have heard much about that this afternoon. Today, we had the announcement of the £55 million expansion of the Port of Cromarty Firth, which will make it the first port in the UK that is able to make offshore floating wind turbines on site and at scale. That will be backed by a grant from the floating offshore wind manufacturing investment scheme, which will allow it to attract match funding from private investors.
That investment from FLOWMIS joins a long list of investments to Scotland, which are worth hearing about once again. They include removing connectivity black holes through project gigabit and the shared rural network, boosting 4G coverage in the Highlands and Islands, funding two electrolytic hydrogen projects in Cromarty and Whitelee, confirming £25 million of funding for the 10-year investment in the Argyll and Bute growth deal, and extending the innovation cluster in the Glasgow city region for a further year. That is without mentioning the headline investments in GB Energy—which, with its headquarters in Aberdeen and the investment that goes along with it, is a clear statement of intent—or the £200 million committed by the Prime Minister—
Will the member give way?
I will just finish this point, because I want to ensure that the complete list is on the record. The Prime Minister committed to £200 million for Grangemouth.
The commitments to Aberdeen and GB Energy have been diluted by the day. First, it was said that there would be up to 1,000 jobs. Now, it is a couple of hundred jobs, maybe in 20 years. The investment has also been absolutely cut to pieces. Does Mr O’Kane believe that the pledges that were initially made to Aberdeen, and the original GB Energy investment, should stand?
Mr O’Kane, I can give you the time back for the intervention.
It never fails to amaze me that Kevin Stewart cannot bring himself to support a publicly owned energy company that is being invested in by the new UK Government, after years of inaction from the Tories and a lack of investment in that. Mr Stewart well knows the potential that will be unleashed for jobs in the supply chain and in the development of new offshore wind—and for jobs in Aberdeen, which Michael Marra rightly described as the energy capital of the UK and of Europe. It would be good to hear Mr Stewart come with the positivity that George Adam said in his contribution that he was looking for.
It is important that we do not lose sight of the fact that other parts of the UK have also faced chronic underinvestment in 14 years of Conservative austerity. It was disappointing to hear the minister talk about Liverpool and Tyneside as though those communities do not deserve investment and support from the new UK Government.
Today, I was speaking to someone in Manchester who contrasted the growth and investment in Scotland with that in Manchester with Andy Burnham as mayor. Manchester has fewer powers than this Parliament has, but there has been a huge amount of growth and development in those communities, and work has been done hand in hand with them.
In the Glasgow city region, we have not seen similar growth and expansion. That is why I made my point about Glasgow airport. I agree that Glasgow airport is a key part of our infrastructure and a key part of what we can do to get growth, but the fact of the matter is that it was the SNP Government that cancelled the Glasgow airport rail link, back in 2007, when it took office. There is another proposal from SPT to develop a plan for a light rail link to the airport. The Government has been in power for 18 years, yet people cannot get a train to Glasgow airport. That is extraordinary. The Government needs to reflect on the action that it has taken—or, rather, its inaction.
Will the member take an intervention?
I will, once I have made this point.
The point about airports was well made. The expansions at Heathrow and Gatwick—which I think were tentatively welcomed by the First Minister—will have a knock-on impact on the supply chain for our very important industries, such as Scottish salmon.
On GARL, does Mr O’Kane recognise that the rail link that was proposed would have had a negative effect on people who travel between Inverclyde and Glasgow because, if it had gone ahead, it would have reduced the number of trains per hour between Inverclyde and Glasgow?
Those arguments were well rehearsed at the time. It was abundantly clear that the Scottish Government abandoned Glasgow airport. Quite frankly, that is what happened. We have seen a lack of investment in and support for Glasgow airport.
I think that the motion is disrespectful to the good partnership working that has taken place between the Scottish and UK Governments over the past seven months, which has represented a constructive change and has sought to deliver for people and communities who need investment. I am thinking, in particular, of the partnership working that we have seen on a sustainable future for Grangemouth, the Grangemouth industrial cluster and the wider Falkirk and Grangemouth growth deal.
We need to be clear about the fact that the UK Labour Government is taking what are sometimes very difficult and tough economic decisions and making investments that are necessary after what has been a lost decade in Scotland’s economy, while the SNP and the Tories seem to want to continue the story of grudge and grievance. I do not think that that does a service to the people of Scotland.
It is clear that the job is not done. As I have said, we cannot rectify a lost decade after only seven months in office, but the new UK Government has made a significant start. Earlier, I mentioned my disappointment about the return to grudge and grievance that the motion represents, in spite of the significant co-operative work that has been undertaken by the two Governments. It is important that the Scottish Government reflects on that. I hope that this afternoon’s debate is a momentary blip in the constructive relationship and the debates that we have in the chamber.
We move to closing speeches. There is a little time in hand.
16:28
Like Murdo Fraser, I had been enjoying—up until that last speech—having another debate on the economy, although my staff have forbidden me from rolling out my Meatloaf joke again. I was a bit distressed by that last speech because of its focus on airports. We are a long way into the climate emergency for members not to understand the role that aviation plays in global climate emissions or the status of aviation in the future. Aviation is one of those industries that must decline. The Climate Change Committee has said that there will always be some role for aviation, but it is not a growth industry. Therefore, investing in airports is not a sensible thing to do unless that investment is in decarbonising and shrinking those airports.
I cannot agree with what Craig Hoy said in his intervention on Kevin Stewart. He seemed to imply that people in the financial services sector are not very good at maths. The Chartered Institute of Taxation has calculated that someone in Scotland who earns the whopping salary of £150,000 will pay £3,857.88 more in income tax than someone in the rest of the UK, which is less than 3 per cent of their gross salary. In exchange for that, they will get a baby box if they have a baby, free prescriptions, free bus travel for their kids, free university tuition for their kids, more police officers per person, a greater ratio of general practitioners per person, free social care should they or any of their family require it, and—although this is not something the Scottish Government can take credit for, with or without the Greens in government—significantly lower housing costs. Anyone who ran the numbers on that would find that living in Scotland is a really good deal. John Cullinane, director of public policy at the Chartered Institute of Taxation, noted:
“the divergence created by devolution has not led to any noticeable changes in taxpayer behaviour”.
I also challenge Murdo Fraser on freeports, which are an excellent example of exactly the sort of compromise that ends up being made in the pursuit of growth at all costs. In a freeport, some taxes and regulations are suspended in the hope that companies that do not want to contribute to their country and communities and that have a cavalier attitude to regulations can be lured into those locations. Even assuming that that leads to the creation of new companies instead of just causing businesses to relocate, what message does it send to companies that pay their employees properly, follow the rules and pay their taxes? It sounds as though the Conservatives do not value them. Instead of creating a level playing field for all businesses, the Conservatives would like to hand out sweeties to companies that do not want to pay taxes or follow regulations.
I also challenge—again—the claim that North Sea oil and gas contribute to Scotland’s energy security. North Sea oil and gas are extracted by private companies and sold on the open global market. They are in no way reserved or set aside for Scotland’s use, and, far from their creating security for us, climate change is creating significant risks for our future. Everything from food shortages to species extinctions, storm impacts, flooding, fires and droughts will increase if global emissions do not drop quickly enough, and large parts of the Earth will become uninhabitable to humanity. The mass human displacement that is caused by that, along with global food and water shortages, is an enormous risk to our security. The security of our future depends on our reducing emissions on a very rapid trajectory.
As always, I am a bit concerned about the Scottish Government’s focus on carbon capture and storage and the Acorn project. It appears to be looking for an easy way out of the climate emergency. We know what is needed to reduce emissions urgently, and nearly all of that includes proven technology that we already have. However, instead of implementing road charging, announcing a road building moratorium as Wales has done, bringing forward an ambitious heat in buildings bill or publishing a new energy strategy with a clear presumption against new oil and gas, the Scottish Government points to the UK and the Acorn project again and again.
Carbon capture, utilisation and storage is a very risky investment. Even if it can be made to work—and no one has done that yet—it is frightfully expensive. It lets polluters off the hook by imagining that they can just hoover up their emissions, instead of us all having to make significant changes to how our economy works.
I will conclude by joining Michael Marra and others in calling out the explicitly political and constitutional nature of the motion for debate. Despite the fact that Scottish independence is supported by roughly half the population of Scotland, the UK Government—which is so fanatically unionist that it refuses to defend the union in a new referendum on Scottish independence—maintains the Tory line that, if it does not allow a democratic process of self-determination for the Scottish people, we will all just forget about it and it will go away.
The UK Government is therefore in a bit of a bind. If it invests in Scotland, it risks stoking Scottish economic confidence and, therefore, confidence in what an independent Scotland might achieve. That undermines project fear. However, if it does not invest in Scotland, it risks stoking Scottish resentment, allowing those of us who support independence to say how much better off we would be as an independent country.
Unchecked, climate change will force changes into our economy. We can either make changes in how our economy works, to ensure that everyone benefits from our success in reducing emissions, or have changes forced on us by the collapse of global systems—climate, food production, precipitation patterns, disease and extreme events.
Action is not optional. Members might want to opt out of the costs and difficult choices of achieving net zero, but they cannot opt out of the costs and effects of catastrophic climate change.
16:34
There is a very important debate to be had about spatial economics in the UK and in Scotland. Unfortunately, this was not it. We have been slightly bedevilled by the motion that is in front of us from the Government and by the tone taken variously, and rather depressingly, by the front bench, but, rather hysterically, by the SNP back benchers in some of the quite fantastical warblings that we have had of grievance, grudge and, frankly, an aggressive tone about anything good that happens anywhere else than Scotland. It is not a tone that builds an atmosphere of partnership, which is what we hope to see and which can help the whole country.
One area that could have been a focus today—in relation to the kinds of issues that we talk about as representing a genuine investment in our economy—is ScotWind. In 2022, the ScotWind auction realised £756 million in fees. The then First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, said that ScotWind money
“will help deliver the supply chain investments and high-quality jobs that will make the climate transition a fair one”.
Three years on, precisely none of that has happened. The money has shifted in and out of budgets over the years. Frankly, it has become a fund to be used as a backstop for an increasingly chaotic Government that is losing control of the public finances, with three consecutive emergency in-year budgets. There was an announcement in the 2025-26 budget that around £300 million will be spent on long-term investment for the energy transition—the kind of investment that Kevin Stewart was calling for. However, yesterday, at the Finance and Public Administration Committee, the Minister for Public Finance could not tell me a single project that any of the money would actually be spent on in the next financial year, when it is meant to be Invested. Therefore, how the Government will use the money to invest in our energy future remains a complete mystery, including to the Government, and the clock is ticking.
That is the kind of area that the Government could have been talking about today—things that, frankly, it needs to get in order—
Will Michael Marra take an intervention?
No, thank you.
It is on that point.
No, thank you.
After that, we strode, bizarrely, across a range of cod economic theorising—none worse, I have to say, than the bizarre Malthusian fantasies of Kevin Stewart, recalling the worst warblings of physical resource constraint, based on, frankly, pre-technological views of the world. For all his railing against empire and the East India Company, his view is profoundly ahistorical and, frankly, it is irrelevant to the people of the north-east and of Scotland today. What they want to know is what the money will actually be spent on.
Will the member give way?
I certainly will, sir.
What is entirely relevant to the people of the north-east and people throughout Scotland is the capital spending difference—the per capita capital spending of £2,237 in London compared to £1,789 in Scotland. That situation is of the Treasury’s making, and London sucks up capital.
As I said at the outset, there is a fair point at the core of the issue that Mr Stewart raised about investment on a spatial basis. We heard the example that my friend Paul O’Kane gave about Manchester. Andy Burnham is a frequent and loud campaigner for investment in his region. The question is whether we want to do that in partnership and try to deal with some of the issue.
What has happened in the most recent budget is that an additional £610 million of capital has been invested by the UK Labour Government in Scotland but we have no capital plan to tell us how that will be spent. We were promised one for the past two years, and, as the investment cost rises, we are none the wiser as to how any of the money should be spent.
Lorna Slater went on to tell us that growth is not everything, although I am afraid to say that I do not believe that anyone claimed that it was. Ms Slater rightly referred to distributional questions and inequality, but I continue to fail to see the relationship between an end to growth and the political means by which we can find the space to redistribute the money. That is a singular failure in Tim Jackson’s work on the end to growth, if I am honest.
Part of the spatial question is the fact that we are all advocates for place and for local people, about which we are all rightly passionate and positive. Beatrice Wishart gave the best example of that. She will be a sad loss to the Parliament in 2026. She gave the best examples of the centralising tendency of the Government, and she could have given the same speech that Scottish National Party back-benchers gave—that money spent anywhere other than where it wants it to be is an illegitimate affront.
George Adam claimed that the £200 million for Grangemouth is nothing, which is an insult, frankly, to the local people who have campaigned for jobs and investment. In his view, the people of Manchester should have no investment whatsoever.
I do not know whether the member is intentionally misinterpreting what I said, or if he is doing so for political effect, but I was questioning whether it is right to give £1 billion to someone who is already destroying the lives of people in Grangemouth. That is what I was questioning, and that is what the people of Grangemouth want to know. We do not know what the £200 million is actually going to do, where it will come from or what it is going to deliver. Let us get some balance in this debate and some reality.
I am happy to defend the idea that, after eight months, the UK Labour Government has brought £200 million to the table to invest in the local community, whereas the Scottish Government sat on its hands for 18 years and did absolutely nothing.
Beatrice Wishart continued by making an articulate case for her community rather than against other communities. I will close on a quote from Beatrice. She said that it would be better, frankly, for people to bring a “can-do and enterprising attitude, which recognises where the future lies.”
If only, sir—if only.
16:41
This grim, grievance-laden debate has underscored how wide the gap is between reality and the SNP’s rhetoric when it comes to Scottish business, the Scottish economy and Scottish growth.
It goes to show that, having put her name to this lamentable motion, Kate Forbes stayed for the first five minutes of the debate and then ducked out to spend her time more productively. If she had remained in the chamber, she would have learned more about the SNP’s record, which, on this occasion, my colleague Murdo Fraser did not take the opportunity to eviscerate. However, her action reveals that it is not the UK that treats the Scottish economy as an afterthought. Bizarrely, the SNP Scottish Government repeatedly does so.
I accept the minister’s point that Labour has badly let down Scottish business and has all but snuffed out the prospects of growth that we had restored to the Scottish economy, but it is more than only a bit rich for the SNP to use the debate to slam anyone else for treating Scottish trade and Scottish industry as an afterthought.
Let us take a moment or two to reflect on the SNP’s record. The oil and gas sector in Scotland has repeatedly been hung out to dry. Scotland’s pub and hospitality sector has been given only a tiny share of the vital rates relief that it is due. Scotland’s retailers have been given no additional rates relief at all. Our farmers are seeing the agricultural resource budget cut this year. Our fishing communities are crying out for support, which is not forthcoming.
The Scottish nuclear energy industry—what is left of it—faces shutdown due to SNP dogma. The defence manufacturing industry is losing jobs due to a lack of Scottish Government support. Recruitment to the financial services sector in Scotland is at risk due to John Swinney’s high-tax Scotland. I say to Kevin Stewart that we are not losing financial services jobs to London; we are losing them to Manchester, Birmingham, Newcastle and other places in England. That is the reality of the situation.
Our universities are being undermined as engines of innovation and economic growth by SNP disinvestment for a decade or more. The Scotch whisky industry faces repeated threats, such as the proposed ban on marketing. Our world-class food and drink sector is hit hard by the failed deposit return scheme, which Lorna Slater still defends. Scotland’s free ports were delayed as the SNP played political games. Globally recognised brand Scotland brewers are now scratching their heads in disbelief at proposed restrictions on sponsorship. Our island businesses are undermined by the on-going ferries failure. Remote and rural businesses—some as large as Stena Link, in Stranraer—have been hit by the Government’s failure to upgrade roads such as the A75.
As Douglas Ross said, this has been a lamentable debate, and I will never get back the nine minutes that I spent listening to Kevin Stewart. The SNP Government is actively hostile—nothing that I heard in the debate tells me otherwise—to many of the very industries that it relies on for skills development, employment and tax receipts. The SNP talks about economic growth, but its actions in the Parliament and beyond often run completely counter to achieving it.
Despite Michael Marra’s flight of fantasy, Labour is no better. Let us admit that the party’s national insurance hike is a broken-promise tax on jobs and workers that will cost the Scottish economy billions of pounds. It will lead to lower wages and lower levels of employment, and it will undermine companies’ capacity to invest further in growing their businesses.
Let me recap, as Murdo Fraser did, the performance of the Scottish economy in recent years under a Conservative Government in what were challenging economic times. Between 2011 and 2022, the UK economy grew by nearly a fifth, yet Scottish growth lagged behind that by 7 per cent. The Scottish economy underperformed what was perceived to be an underperforming UK economy. That is the true cost of the SNP’s economic incompetence and its policy decisions. Had ministers got their act together and swung in behind Scotland’s businesses, the economy would now be £10.2 billion bigger than it is.
For this budget, we set out plans to reduce tax—tax on workers, tax on home buyers and tax on businesses—which would have restored long-term growth to the Scottish economy. However, that fell on deaf ears with this SNP Government, and it appears that Labour also lacks a credible plan, as this debate has proven. In many respects, Labour has been defending indefensible decisions that are doing real damage to the business community and public services in Scotland.
The previous Conservative Government was serious about boosting the Scottish economy to the tune of £3 billion. As Murdo Fraser said, there was £1.5 billion in city, region and growth deals and £1.4 billion in levelling up funds, including for the freeports that the SNP sought to block, which would have supported jobs in key industries including the oil and gas sector, for which they would have acted as a supply chain.
However, it is not only in those areas that the Scottish Conservatives backed the UK Government in delivering for Scotland. As Murdo Fraser rightly said, the Ministry of Defence spends more per head in Scotland than in the rest of the UK—an average of £380 more—and its spending in Scotland grew by 13 per cent between 2018 and 2021-22. That was a vote of confidence in the Scottish aerospace and defence industries.
As our amendment makes clear, we should not ignore the significant contributions that other organisations have made. The British Business Bank’s investment fund for Scotland will deliver £150 million of new funding to the country to drive sustainable growth by supporting innovation and creating local opportunities for new and growing businesses in Scotland.
Action under a Conservative Government delivered real support for Scottish investment in Scottish businesses and Scottish jobs and, ultimately, for growth in the Scottish economy. Our commitment to the Scottish economy and the industries that support it is unwavering and ambitious. Sadly, based on our experience not just in this debate but in many recent debates, the SNP—now alongside Labour—does not believe in the same principles of driving growth in the Scottish economy.
I call Richard Lochhead to wind up the debate. Minister, I would be grateful if you could take us to as close to 5 o’clock as you can.
16:47
I shall speak slowly and, of course, welcome any interventions that members want to make. I always like to hear members’ views, and I am sure that they are already thinking of what they could say.
First, it is important to say—and I said this at the beginning of the debate—that we are debating the future of the Scottish economy and, to a certain extent, the future of the UK economy against a backdrop of challenges and uncertainties. Domestically, there is a lot of concern in the business community about the impending increase in employer national insurance contributions, energy costs, inflation and the on-going impact of Brexit.
There is a range of domestic issues, and the international situation is also uncertain. We have seen what has been happening across the pond and the ramifications of that on our television screens and on social media. We do not quite know where that is going to go, and I am sure that every member of every party in Parliament is very concerned about that.
The Scottish and UK business communities will likewise be very concerned about the potential impact of what may be down the line over the coming months and years—we simply do not know at this point what that will be. I mention that simply because it makes this kind of debate even more important. We absolutely have to grasp the economic opportunities that are before us; we cannot afford to miss them.
We are at a moment of inflection for the Scottish economy. I am very lucky that, in my post, I get to go around the country and meet businesses, entrepreneurs, universities and a wide range of representatives in the business community. There is a lot of excitement at the moment, despite the challenges. Many wells are about to spring in the business and innovation communities. Exciting things are happening in Scotland.
We cannot afford to miss this moment of inflection. The decisions that we take over the next few years will lead to our capturing the giant prize—as I mentioned—of prosperity and more equality in Scotland. Conversely, if we, or other people, take the wrong decisions, we will miss some of those opportunities. It is a crucial time for Scotland, which makes this debate even more important.
On that very note, the minister will recall that, at the start of the debate, I referred to the importance of the defence industries to Scotland. We are going to see more defence spending in the UK and internationally, which creates an economic opportunity.
Does he agree, therefore, that the Scottish Government has to be welcoming of the defence industries? Does he agree that if, on a future occasion, we welcome to the Parliament representatives of, and young apprentices in, the defence sector, we should be welcoming them and not abusing them?
I put on record that I very much value the contribution to the Scottish economy that is made by the companies in the defence sector that are based in Scotland. There is a diverse range of companies that build everything from naval ships to drones and other technologies that are being used.
Of course, the space industry in Scotland is crucially important, too. As the world prepares to invest billions of extra dollars in the space industry, there are opportunities for Scotland to get a slice of the action. That will lead to high-value jobs in our country and the further expansion of our space industry. We should not limit our ambitions to building small satellites—which we are very good at—and rockets; we have to look at the global situation and what that means for Scottish opportunities. I think that apprentices, and the opportunities not just in defence but in diversification within those companies, are important for the Scottish economy.
In many ways, the debate has been quite predictable. The Conservatives have said that things were much better in their day. Labour Party members have said that things are much better now, because Labour is in Government. Douglas Ross has said that he does not want to be here, which we all know, and he gave us his views on various things—
Will the member give way?
Oh, I suppose that I will have to give way, as I name-checked him.
It is not so much that—the minister said that he would be happy to give way to any colleague, so I am taking him up on that.
Does the minister accept that my issue was more with the structure of the debate? I am happy to speak about the economy, but we knew how the debate would go—as he has just said, it was very predictable—because of how the SNP framed the motion for debate. Surely he must agree, having listened to the debate, that, while we could have had a positive and constructive debate about Scotland’s economy, we could not do so with his party’s motion?
As the member will be aware, we occasionally disagree over the future direction of the Scottish and UK economies, and today we are having a vigorous debate on that very subject. SNP members have our views on the future of the Scottish economy, and other parties are here defending their views on it, too.
However, it is important that we address the big picture, which is that the UK Government’s Chancellor of the Exchequer has said that she sees the golden triangle of London, Oxford and Cambridge, and in particular the Oxford-Cambridge corridor, as the key to the economic success of the UK. She also views that area as the home of British innovation.
That has huge ramifications for our business community in Scotland. I know that other members would rather not talk about that, but—to be honest—if my party had plummeted to 18 per cent in the opinion polls, I would perhaps be asking myself why the people of Scotland currently have a certain view of the UK Government. It is important to reflect on what is happening with the big picture.
Last week, I met Douglas Alexander, when we both spoke at an exports event in Edinburgh called “Made in Scotland, Sold to the World”. We co-operate on issues like that—we have discussed in this debate how we have co-operated on freeports and the fact that there is other funding coming from the multibillion-pound national wealth fund, with £200 million earmarked for Grangemouth. We have also discussed the growth deals as a good example of how the Governments have worked together.
I do not understand why the other parties are trying to conflate the Scottish Government’s willingness to work in partnership with the UK Government with the fact that we have concerns over the UK Government’s direction of travel in promoting the south-east of England.
The minister will recognise that, instead of what he has described, what we got from some back-bench SNP members was talk of what happened in the days of empire and the East India Company. That is an illustration of where, unfortunately, the Government’s motion took us.
With regard to speeches that UK Government ministers have made, I draw attention to what the Prime Minister said just last week, when he was announcing the £200 million for Grangemouth, about how integral Scotland is to our ambition for a clean power mission to transform the energy sector by 2030. Scotland is the energy capital of Europe and it is integral to those plans, and it will be invested against on that basis. Surely the minister sees that that is a positive signal of the UK Labour Government’s view of and vision for Scotland.
First, we recognise that, in some cases, UK Government money and investment is coming to Scotland, which is important. However, the member suggests that we should be thankful and celebrate the fact that Scotland has a share in UK projects. Of course, we should be getting a share of those projects. The big picture is the UK economy’s direction of travel.
Kevin Stewart made an important point about inequality and how we are repeating past mistakes. The new UK Labour Government is, once again, emphasising that the golden triangle of Oxford, Cambridge and London, in the south-east of England, will drive the UK economy forward. Even the Tories, who introduced the levelling up agenda—albeit 10 years late—accepted that too much was happening in the golden triangle in the south-east of England. That may have turned out to be a slogan, but it identified a debate that needed to be had in the UK. Now, the Labour Party is talking about how the Tories got it wrong, but it is doing exactly the same thing. Labour colleagues are talking up the golden triangle as the future for UK investment.
In my contribution, I made the point directly to the minister that, throughout the debate, he has referenced investment in Liverpool, Tyneside and Manchester. Does he not see that a lost decade cannot be overturned in seven months and that investment in every part of the UK is vitally important and is at the core of the UK Government’s agenda?
Yes, but the thrust of UK economic policy is causing concern in the Scottish business community. The BBC reported that Rachel Reeves said that she
“vowed to build ‘Europe’s Silicon Valley’ between Oxford and Cambridge”.
Even Terry Murden of Daily Business Magazine—who is not the biggest friend of the Scottish Government, it has to be said—described the speech as
“Southern comfort, but no help for Scotland.”
The issue is that embassies around the world and UK agencies take their lead from what the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the Prime Minister say, which is, “Drive investment into the golden triangle in the south-east of England.” That is what will be happening behind closed doors around the world. Thank goodness we have Kate Forbes as our champion for investment in Scotland and that the Scottish Government is making an effort to attract investment into Scotland.
When I went to Singapore on a trade mission, a senior businessperson in Singapore said to me that it was refreshing to have a Scottish minister arguing for investment in Scotland, because, usually, UK ministers make the case for investment in the golden triangle in the south of England. That is what is happening around the world. Others are taking a nod from the UK Government’s policy direction.
What would the minister say to the investor panel that was commissioned by the Scottish Government, which said:
“It is not apparent that the Scottish Government considers the impact of its actions on investment appetite”
and that
“Planning decisions are slow and sit in the system for unacceptably long periods”.
That is what the business community is saying to his Government about its record. Why are we not having a discussion about that and fixing it?
I pull the member back to the big picture. I know that planning is important for the Scottish business community, and it is really important that we get that right and listen to the recommendations, but we are talking about the future direction of the UK economy and the implications for Scotland. That is what we must have at heart.
When the Prime Minister delivered a big speech about the AI action plan and the future of AI in the UK, despite the fact that Scotland leads internationally in many areas of AI, he mentioned four areas down south, but not Scotland. That is why the business community and our innovation sectors are concerned; they are reading reports on that and seeing it happen. We need a UK Government that recognises what is happening in Scotland. People have written books about how Scotland invented the modern world but, meanwhile, the UK Government has cancelled the supercomputer in Edinburgh. The Prime Minister mentioned every other part of the UK—or, at least England—in his big talk about the future of AI, despite the fact that, just last year, a Nobel prize winner who is an alumni of the University of Edinburgh won an award for machine learning. He is one of the world’s leaders in AI and studied at the University of Edinburgh, and that must be recognised by the UK Government. We have to do something about that.
If you were in one of the many exciting companies in Scotland that are often referred to in the chamber, whether that is in life sciences, the space industry or fintech, and you read that the UK Government’s official view is that Oxbridge and the golden triangle is the home of British innovation, how do you think you would feel? Those companies are inventing cures for diseases and new technologies for space, and they are looking at ways to protect the planet and provide the best possible data. All of that has been invented, developed and innovated here, in Scotland. The Labour Party’s Chancellor of the Exchequer then stands up and says in her big speech on the future of the UK economy that Oxbridge is the home of British innovation. That is unacceptable.
We have to get that fixed. We need the UK Government to stand up for Scotland, represent us around the world and work in partnership with us, not drive UK policy, resources, time and effort into the south-east of England, promoting even more inequality and not allowing Scotland to realise our economic ambitions.
We will do our bit here, in Scotland, but it is about time that the Labour Party started doing its bit as well. I commend the motion to Parliament.
That concludes the debate on achieving a fair balance in the UK’s economy.
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